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Old 11-22-2007, 11:38 AM
silentbob silentbob is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
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Default Week 12 NFL player props thread

Hoping for a turnaround this week.

Tony Romo under 3 TD passes at -115 for 2 units (Bodog). This line has been pounded down to -140 in the past hour, sorry for not posting this sooner. The Jets haven't given up more than 3 passing TDs in any game since Mangini took over. In fact, they've given up 3 passing TDs only twice, and once this season (Brady in Week 1). The Jets give up a ton of yards but actually don't concede many TDs generally and have been fairly stout in recent weeks. My sense is that this bet loses about 15 percent of the time, but the push percentage may be fairly high, so it's not clear how much edge there is here. But there is definitely an edge IMO.

YTD: 28-22, +4.65 units
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