Second Top Full Against loose/passive

[abscr]

Short term stats on villain are 50/3.45, aggression 0.35. My only other read is that it seemed like he didn't exactly know what he was doing; drawing to 9 high flush/inside straight in a three-way pot while not getting very good odds from the SB.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($16.30)
UTG ($14.05)
UTG+1 ($22.65)
MP1 ($14.30)
MP2 ($38.50)
CO ($24.60)
Button ($25.90)
Hero ($29.90)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls $0.25, MP2 calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $1.6</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $1.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls $1.35, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $1.35.

Flop: ($6.90) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP2 checks, CO checks.

Turn: ($6.90) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2</font>, UTG calls $2, MP2 folds, CO calls $2.

River: ($12.90) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $11.5</font>, Hero . . .

Final Pot: $18.90

My plan was to raise UTG if he bet river and CO just called (I didn't think CO could call it behind in hope I raised again if he had AAxx) or just call CO if he bet river and the price was right.

Does anyone call/raise this?

[chucky]

Why did you bet $2 dollars on the turn. You should probably fold. I put CO on aces full here. You have nut and second nut flush so its not like other flushes or 99xx are likely.

[abscr]

After a night's rest, it seems completely obvious that he has aces full, here. You really think my turn line was bad?

It's a pretty decently sized pot, so I had a chance to take it down, get calls with worse hands, and save money on the river by knowing I'm probably beat if CO does call then bets/raises on the river.

[Elrazor]

i bet $3-4 on the flop, representing top full - if i get caller(s) i know im beat.

[SuperSnort]

looking at these stakes is it possible that he has a random flush?

[slowhand5]

I would say Aces full here for sure. You shouldnt always rely on stats but 50/4 with .35 agg factor is pretty extreme. I doubt hes really raising here with a bad flush given how passive he seems.

Personally I check the flop and check/call the turn if he bets. Theres no harm in giving free cards since there isnt a draw that can beat you. It might also induce action from someone holding a five or allow some to hit a flush and pay the river. If its check around again on the flop I'll probably bet the river.