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Old 11-27-2007, 04:02 PM
thoman8r thoman8r is offline
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Default Re: NL50 TT on J-high board line check

How large is your sample for these stats?
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2007, 06:24 PM
Chomp Chomp is offline
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Default Re: NL50 TT on J-high board line check

I like Trig's thinking preflop:

Hand 0: 57.790% { 99+, AJs+, AKo } or {JJ+, AQ+}
Hand 1: 42.210% { TT }

So we are probably behind villain's range preflop, so calling hoping to play multiway for set value (or TP if needs be) seems to me a reasonable plan.

I originally wrote a post saying I liked turn, but I changed my mind. And then changed again. All I can think is that one of 4 things must happen on turn:

> He folds, we win dead money, +$16
> He raises, we fold, -$11
> He calls with JJ+, we shut down, we lose -$11
> He calls with whiffed overs, river blanks and goes c/c, we win +$38

Since there are more combos of whiffed overs and villain probably has stationy tendencies, it seems to me the turn bet must be good. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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