Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-24-2007, 03:25 PM
EGO EGO is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 285
Default A probability question.

A set of ten objects, in which two people are supposed to choose six out of the ten, at different times, and with no knowledge of the other person's picks.

What are the chances that the two people will pick the exact same six objects? What are the chances of having five in common?

How do these probabilities change if a third person is included?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-24-2007, 04:55 PM
Daddys_Visa Daddys_Visa is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Edmonton, Canada.
Posts: 127
Default Re: A probability question.

For the first question. Person A picks his 6, it really doesnt matter which. Then person B has the following chance to pick the same:

6/10 * 5/9 * 4/8 * 3/7 * 2/6 * 1/5= 720/151200 = 1/210

If you add a 3rd person they have a 1/210 chance to pick the same, so 1/210 * 1/210 = 1/44100
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-24-2007, 05:49 PM
Siegmund Siegmund is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,850
Default Re: A probability question.

Daddy is right, for 2 people picking exactly the same 6 objects. 1 way out of 10C6=210.

5 objects in common: 6C5*4C1 = 6*4 = 24 ways
4 objects in common: 6C4*4C2 = 15*6 = 90 ways
3 objects in common: 6C3*4C3 = 20*4 = 80 ways
2 objects in common: 6C2*4C4 = 15*1 = 15 ways
Impossible to have fewer than two objects in common.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-25-2007, 12:19 PM
AaronBrown AaronBrown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 2,260
Default Re: A probability question.

Another way of thinking about this problem is to paint six of the objects red. One person picks six objects at random, the chance of picking k red objects is:

[6! 4! / (6 - n)!]^2 / [10! n! (n-2)!], 6 >= n > 1

This is clearly the same as two people picking n objects in common. With more people, you just multiply this by this number, as Daddys_Visa pointed out.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:38 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.