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  #1  
Old 12-01-2007, 12:38 AM
cato-tonia cato-tonia is offline
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Posts: 63
Default the proof is in the pudding

my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c
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  #2  
Old 12-01-2007, 12:48 AM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: taking DVaut\'s money
Posts: 3,294
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

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  #3  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:05 AM
cato-tonia cato-tonia is offline
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Posts: 63
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

can i keep the bowl?
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  #4  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:06 AM
hedgie43 hedgie43 is offline
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Location: Rugby Heaven
Posts: 382
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

LOL at Pats-Colts. You said you were on the ML, not the points.
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  #5  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:44 AM
brendanb438 brendanb438 is offline
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Location: Penalty Box at Covers
Posts: 2,636
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

OP are you a clown? You sound like one. Congrats on an amazing performance over such a long period of time. Are you going tout yet and how much can we pay ya for your picks?
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  #6  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:46 AM
Post-Oak Post-Oak is offline
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Posts: 899
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's make a prop bet. I will lay you 3 to 2 that you can't pick 60 out of 100 winners versus widely available lines. We will have to post the money up before hand of course.

If you pick anywhere close to 62%, this is a huge edge for you. I will lay up to $15K to win $10K.

Accepting this bet will go a long way towards proving your sincerity.
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  #7  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:57 AM
bills217 bills217 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: taking DVaut\'s money
Posts: 3,294
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's make a prop bet. I will lay you 3 to 2 that you can't pick 60 out of 100 winners versus widely available lines. We will have to post the money up before hand of course.

If you pick anywhere close to 62%, this is a huge edge for you. I will lay up to $15K to win $10K.

Accepting this bet will go a long way towards proving your sincerity.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd probably like some action along these lines as well.

I don't see how tlt can refuse - for someone with a long-term track record of 62% winners, to turn this down would be hating money.
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  #8  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:12 AM
michw michw is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: computer
Posts: 240
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

the proof of the pudding is the eating
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  #9  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:39 AM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: the death of baseball
Posts: 10,765
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

i just ate some pudding

that being said i'll lay 3:2 as well for $5k if you want more action.
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  #10  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:41 AM
Performify Performify is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sports Betting forum
Posts: 3,847
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

From the FAQ:

# What is the highest sustainable win rate in point spread betting?
# Generally, somewhere in the 55%-60% range is considered the maximum that is sustainable. However, if you start approaching the higher end of that range, you are probably passing up some +EV wagers.



(emphasis added)



Not to say anything about sample size, yadda yadda.

No one says its "impossible" to pick 60%.
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