50nl flopped 2nd nuts OOP

[0524432]

Villain is 59/30/3.2 over only 75 hands. No other reads other than the obv, he plays a lot of hands, and reasonably aggro when he does.


Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $59.45
CO: $62.05
BTN: $98.95
Hero (SB): $69.85
BB: $58.70
UTG: $82.95

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.50</font>, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds

Flop: ($3.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($3.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $2</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6.95</font>, CO calls $4.95

River: ($17.40) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $14.25</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $32.50</font>, Hero ???

Any arguments for a fold here?

[Jouster777]

[ QUOTE ]
Any arguments for a fold here?

[/ QUOTE ] Never...though it would be amusing if you tell us villain shows QJ here.

[ajml]

I call this against ANY opponent. Against a fish its an even easier call.

[Dschmeidreu]

Any arguments for a PUSH here!? I dont see how else I would play this [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[derosnec]

since he didn't bet the flop, we can probably rule out any hand with a 9/8/5 (K9, etc) and big PPs (TT-KK will bet for protection; AA will bet because it just does). JT will probably c-bet.

Hands that check: maybe sets, 76. I don't see QJ/J7 checking the flop and betting the turn: that would be a weird line.

This is probably KT or maybe K5, who knows at these stakes. You're likely ahead way more often than pot odds dictate. Only concern though is that your line is strong (c/r turn, lead river), yet he raises the river anyway.

[0524432]

[ QUOTE ]
since he didn't bet the flop, we can probably rule out any hand with a 9/8/5 (K9, etc) and big PPs (TT-KK will bet for protection; AA will bet because it just does). JT will probably c-bet.

Hands that check: maybe sets, 76. I don't see QJ/J7 checking the flop and betting the turn: that would be a weird line.

This is probably KT or maybe K5, who knows at these stakes. You're likely ahead way more often than pot odds dictate. Only concern though is that your line is strong (c/r turn, lead river), yet he raises the river anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

Esp QJ or J7 checking flop, and bet/calling a c/r on the turn

[whyzze]

I have an argument for leading the turn

and I shove river.

[0524432]

[ QUOTE ]
Any arguments for a PUSH here!? I dont see how else I would play this [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I did basically take my entire time bank to consider shoving. I dont think 67 bets turn and just CALLS a c/r from the sb. So I think he could easily have a hand like KT or a Tx that makes 2 pair. However, even considering the stack sizes, the min raise into my very strong line (c/r turn and large vbet river) was concerning enough to me to just call.

[wingchunflush]

I am shoving the river as well.

[derosnec]

this is 67, 55/88, KT, or AA. i'm 100% certain.