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View Poll Results: Did you like the Simpsons alternate win conditions?
Yea 12 54.55%
Nay 10 45.45%
Voters: 22. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old 09-01-2007, 08:57 AM
Lottery Larry Lottery Larry is offline
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Default So, how disappointed would YOU be?

If you waited up last night, saw that you'd hit the Mega Millions... and then found out the next morning that it was only 1/4 of what you thought you'd won, how disappointed would you be?
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  #2  
Old 09-02-2007, 12:17 AM
JSmith2007 JSmith2007 is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

I would be disappointed initially, but a day or two later I'd be happy for what I won anyway.

I think it would suck to go to bed thinking "When I wake up I've got 200 mil" and then waking up "I only got 48 mil..I lost 150 mil overnight" but as I said, as time goes on (a day or two for me..months/years for others maybe) I'd adjust
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  #3  
Old 09-02-2007, 01:34 AM
RickAstleyFan RickAstleyFan is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

I could wake up and find I was one of 134 winners and still be able to retire.

Also, I wouldn't go to sleep that night either!
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  #4  
Old 09-02-2007, 07:30 AM
BK1248 BK1248 is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

[ QUOTE ]
I would be disappointed initially, but a day or two later I'd be happy for what I won anyway.

I think it would suck to go to bed thinking "When I wake up I've got 200 mil" and then waking up "I only got 48 mil..I lost 150 mil overnight" but as I said, as time goes on (a day or two for me..months/years for others maybe) I'd adjust

[/ QUOTE ]

u greedy bastard
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  #5  
Old 09-02-2007, 03:05 PM
grando grando is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

don't people that win the lottery assume that they're splitting it?

I'd assume that, if I won, I'd be splitting with 2 others

I guess that's still a bunch of millions - but still
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  #6  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:15 AM
dsaxton dsaxton is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

I would be angry over how many millions of dollars I'd just lost.
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  #7  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:05 AM
kiddcheckers kiddcheckers is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

I'd be stoked at my BB/hour, but very worried about variance setting in.
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  #8  
Old 09-04-2007, 10:45 PM
Lottery Larry Lottery Larry is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

[ QUOTE ]
don't people that win the lottery assume that they're splitting it?

I'd assume that, if I won, I'd be splitting with 2 others


[/ QUOTE ]

From what I've seen in the last 4-5 years, you only have about a 20% chance or less of splitting the big multi-state lotteries. IIRC, this is one of the very few 200+M prizes that had multiple winners.
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  #9  
Old 09-04-2007, 10:47 PM
Lottery Larry Lottery Larry is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

[ QUOTE ]
I would be angry over how many millions of dollars I'd just lost.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seriously? ANGRY? What if your ticket was one of the big suckout ones?
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  #10  
Old 09-05-2007, 03:25 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Default Re: So, how disappointed would YOU be?

[ QUOTE ]
From what I've seen in the last 4-5 years, you only have about a 20% chance or less of splitting the big multi-state lotteries.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'd be very surprised if that were true. You can calculate the expected share of the lottery from the number of tickets n and probability of winning with one ticket p, with the usual simplifying assumptions that people choose independently and uniformly. The probability that someone wins is 1-(1-p)^n. Your expected share from a ticket is (1-(1-p)^n)/n. So, your expected share conditional on winning is (1-(1-p)^n)/(np).

You can determine the number of tickets sold between drawings in many lotteries by the increase in the pretax lump sum prize or by discounting the announced jackpot. Usually, about 25% of the ticket price goes into the jackpot.
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