NL200: JJ overpair feels bad in a 3bet pot

Jurrr · #1 07-23-2007, 01:15 AM

6-handed. Villain is UTG 23/19/2.67 over 90 hands but I'm not sure he's good or not; we share 2 tables. Hero is BB 20/16/4.5 with $236.75 and J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Villain covers. CO has $50.40 and is a 43/15/1.4 donk.

UTG raises to $7, MP folds, CO calls, 2 folds, Hero raises to $29, UTG calls $22, CO calls $22.

Flop 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($88)
Hero bets $50, UTG calls $50, CO calls all-in $21.40.

Turn 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Hero checks, UTG shoves ($157.75 for hero to call), Hero...?

So I feel I'm likely beat but I have to be good only 30% of the time here to make the call. I'm not at all concerned about CO, he mostly provides dead money.

I cannot call this, right?

Did I screw up earlier?

DonovanMD · #2 07-23-2007, 01:21 AM

I like your flop bet, no other way to play this but bet out imo. Fold the turn and curse if you're good, very unlikely.

BobOjedaFan · #3 07-23-2007, 01:28 AM

Well what hand could he have played like this that you beat?? TT?, fold

_TKO_ · #4 07-23-2007, 01:30 AM

He can't be bluffing, b/c of CO.

BobOjedaFan · #5 07-23-2007, 01:37 AM

[ QUOTE ]
He can't be bluffing, b/c of CO.

[/ QUOTE ]

That too...

Jurrr · #6 07-23-2007, 01:39 AM

OK, thanks for the comments. I guess this was indeed an easy fold (not that I made it as I was on tilt at the time).

tarheeljks · #7 07-23-2007, 01:45 AM

yeah fold the turn, but i think the cbet needs to be in the 60-65 range.

Jurrr · #8 07-23-2007, 01:48 AM

Why does the cbet need to be bigger? I actually sized it this way to still find a fold on the turn if needed (lol).

The most likely drawing hand out there should be A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and that's 1 hand. We are WA/WB IMHO.