Odds of winning x-amount of STTs in a row

[NYCNative]

Is there any way to compute the odds of winning x-amount of single table tournaments in a row?

[vers]

take your 1st place %s and multiple that number together multiple times. Using exponents makes it easier.

[x] IBL

[Josem]

(percentage chance of winning) ^ (number of tournaments in a row)


thus:

if you win 15% of tournaments, and you want to know the chance of winning your next single tournament, it is:

.15 ^ 1 = .15

if you win 15% of tournaments, and you want to know the chance of winning your next two tournaments, it is:

.15 ^ 2 = .15 * .15 = 0.0225

etc.

[Slim Pickens]

[ QUOTE ]
(percentage chance of winning) ^ (number of tournaments in a row)


thus:

if you win 15% of tournaments, and you want to know the chance of winning your next single tournament, it is:

.15 ^ 1 = .15

if you win 15% of tournaments, and you want to know the chance of winning your next two tournaments, it is:

.15 ^ 2 = .15 * .15 = 0.0225

etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, but that's not the same as asking "What is the probability I win x in a row in my next y SNGs?" That's the question that people are more often asking.

[Josem]

true, but the maths of that is hard.

[Slim Pickens]

[ QUOTE ]
true, but the maths of that is hard.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah. [censored] that. Math is for dorks.

[citanul]

yay. thanks for handling this one.