Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Tournament Poker > MTT Strategy

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-30-2007, 10:50 PM
benza13 benza13 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Building stacks, then blowing them up
Posts: 5,932
Default JJ utg in FTP $50/50

Full Tilt Poker Game #3721019976: The Fifty-Fifty (27629335), Table 18 - 40/80 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:48:23 ET - 2007/09/30
Seat 1: ekinnehs18 (4,130)
Seat 2: jpoker531 (5,250)
Seat 3: florian24 (1,670)
Seat 4: vinytuc (4,290)
Seat 5: ChipnaChrrrr (4,900)
Seat 6: PManningRules (3,621)
Seat 7: Jnr Boom (5,214)
Seat 8: breauxdle (1,875)
Seat 9: jimmythefox (4,470)
florian24 posts the small blind of 40
vinytuc posts the big blind of 80
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ChipnaChrrrr [Jh Js]
ChipnaChrrrr raises to 280
PManningRules folds
Jnr Boom folds
breauxdle folds
jimmythefox folds
ekinnehs18 folds
jpoker531 folds
florian24 folds
vinytuc raises to 4,290, and is all in
ChipnaChrrrr has 15 seconds left to act
ChipnaChrrrr has requested TIME

Edit, no reads as he just moved to the table.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-30-2007, 11:25 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

I'd call.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.967% 46.92% 01.05% 274776324 6122802.00 { 88+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 1: 52.033% 50.99% 01.05% 298586040 6122802.00 { JJ }
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-30-2007, 11:34 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-30-2007, 11:37 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

[ QUOTE ]
I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL donkaments.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-30-2007, 11:44 PM
hamnegger hamnegger is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,986
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

depends . do you want to flip for all your chips? i think its 50%ak,aq 40% qq-aa 10% weaker hand . i fold
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-01-2007, 12:02 AM
Sherman Sherman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

We need 46.52% equity to break even. Here are some tighter ranges:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.415% 61.85% 01.57% 222385788 5645496.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 36.585% 35.01% 01.57% 125907060 5645496.00 { JJ }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.771% 55.40% 01.37% 233355456 5780460.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 43.229% 41.86% 01.37% 176310408 5780460.00 { JJ }



equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.400% 57.19% 00.21% 293794824 1063806.00 { QQ+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 42.600% 42.39% 00.21% 217768764 1063806.00 { JJ }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.124% 52.08% 01.04% 304987776 6112398.00 { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 46.876% 45.83% 01.04% 268395396 6112398.00 { JJ }


Fact is, we have no real great estimate of his range. I've seen AJ and 77 show up in $20s here before. I also think QQ+ should get some sort of discount b/c who plays those hands like that?

Anyhow. I'd call relatively quickly actually.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-01-2007, 04:09 AM
levAA levAA is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Black Pearl
Posts: 1,202
Default Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50

[ QUOTE ]
I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .

[/ QUOTE ]

Same is true for AA and KK.

I think most of the time you will face AK and TT here (also JJ - but these are unlikely here) cause most have no idea how to play them and permashove these cards.

I snapcall this.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:18 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.