NL200 River Value Betting

[tw0please]

Villain is tight and extremely passive, like 25/5/1.5 over a decent sample size. He frequently open limps from early position with small/medium pairs and suited connectors, trying to hit flops and folding if he doesn't. I'm running at 22/17 or somesuch and have been at 2 of his tables for a while, no major history and I haven't shown down much at all. River bet size?

- Effective stack size on river is 404
- he never gets here with any type of flush

Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $466.10
UTG: $60.25
BTN: $238.55
SB: $701.85

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG calls $2, BTN folds, SB calls $1, Hero checks

Flop: ($6) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6</font>, UTG folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $22</font>, Hero calls $16

Turn: ($50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $38</font>, Hero calls $38

River: ($126) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero

[hotbacon]

based on player description:

He can't have a jack
The only way he can have 6x is if he has 56s

The huge huge bulk of his range is sets and two pairs.

So, bet like 44