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NLHET&P - Page 165
Shouldn't the analysis for the EV-Call scenario incorporate a theoretical winning percentage of 40% to be consistent with the EV-allin analysis? i.e., (.225)($1200) should be (.20)($1200) + (.025)(-$1000) in the two places it is used.
The book does go on later to say that certain approximations were made to keep the algebra simple, but I take that qualification to speak to the fact that it is assumed that the chance of catching on the turn is .225 and on the river is (.775)(.225), rather than the more important assumption as to the hand's ultimate chance of holding up at showdown, given the comparison of ev-allin vs. ev-callflop. Excellent book btw. |
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