#1
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Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
Yourdaddylovesyou 19/17, my 24/20. He play agro vs me
Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $3/$6 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) Hero (SB): $2,693.60 BB: $300.00 UTG: $932.50 CO: $325.85 BTN: $933.60 Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players) <font color="red">UTG raises to $21.00</font>, CO calls $21.00, <font color="red">BTN raises to $120.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $288.00</font>, 3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises all-in to $933.60</font>, Hero ??? |
#2
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
insta
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#3
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
Easy Easy call. You already have 30% of the money in with this hand. I'd hate to fold here.
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#4
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
pretty sure you can't call here. just ran a simulation with AKs vs AKs,KK+ and you're -$45~ ev making this call against that range, and vs KK+ you're -$240 ev. given that he won't be reshoving AKs every single time, the true equity is probably somewhere in between the two, making this a fold.
even if you put QQ into his range (i.e., the widest possible range), it becomes +$70 ev, so i'm pretty sure you gotta fold here. |
#5
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
LOL @ the people saying instacall. YOU GOT DA ACE KING GET IT IN BABEEEEEEEE!!!!!
This is fairly close but you can fold here. His range is comprised almost entirely of AA/KK. |
#6
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
insta call
u have equity against AK,KK+ and u can easily be exploited if you lay down hands like this pre if you do not have a very good reason this is a call |
#7
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
theres no way i would 4bet w/the intention of folding
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#8
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
[ QUOTE ]
pretty sure you can't call here. just ran a simulation with AKs vs AKs,KK+ and you're -$45~ ev making this call against that range, and vs KK+ you're -$240 ev. given that he won't be reshoving AKs every single time, the true equity is probably somewhere in between the two, making this a fold. even if you put QQ into his range (i.e., the widest possible range), it becomes +$70 ev, so i'm pretty sure you gotta fold here. [/ QUOTE ] He definitely isn't folding QQ every time, and probably not AK either. I think this is a call for sure. |
#9
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
UTGs stats is kindof relevant as well. Excluding AKo from his range totally is a mistake. I also agree that 4-betting is not a good idea if it is with intention of folding to a push, better to just fold to the 3-bet then (or maybe even call).
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#10
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Re: Party NL 600 allin w/ AKs ?
Also fwiw villain is more like 22/19 over my datamines for the past three months, which has a sample size of over 30k hands.
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