FTP 5/10, AA River Decision

[KissANDCatch]

This hand was at 5/10NL on FTP. I have AA and get called preflop by an overly loose and overly aggressive short stack from the CO and a pretty tight TAG from the SB. I'm playing 18/15 with a pretty standard image.

I know the default is to bet this flop, but the shortstack has been been firing a lot of flops and playing pretty reckless in general, so I choose to check to him, thinking that he will bet all hands that he calls with, and bet air a fair amount of the time as well. He of course checks behind.

On the turn the SB checks again to me, I bet, and get checkraised. I just call, figuring flush and straight draws are well in his range here. Anyone like a fold or a shove here?

River pairs the queen, which is kind of an interesting card. I don't think we can put him on the queen, since he wouldn't checkraise the turn with it. It's tough for me to put him on JJ because I would think he would reraise that pre. So really, the only hands in his range that beat me are 44, 22, or QJ, with an outside chance of JJ.

A big consideration is that all draws missed here. However, the river Q is a terrible card for him to bluff and he must know that.

Is the river an easy fold? What is your reasoning?

Any thoughts are greatly appreciated.



Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (6 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($1054.25)
Hero ($1000)
MP ($2688.50)
CO ($298.75)
Button ($940.50)
SB ($2995.25)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $35</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $35, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($115) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: ($115) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $90</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $270</font>, Hero calls $180.

River: ($655) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $2690.25 (All-In)</font>, Hero ???? (It's 695 for me to call)

[Panny1]

Ummm...fold Turn, a nitty TAG never C/R here w a draw imho.

[rand]

if the tight tag is smart good you can prolly fold turn and pretty easily fold river

if he has a brain you can fold river