NL50: River bluff card and I take it.

[Scuba Chuck]

Villain is 29/11/1.0 over 70ish hands.
Villain calls too much on the river too much to small/mediumish bets with TP. He's not very aggressive, so I would not think he's betting his FD on the turn. Calling my flop c-bet and then potting the turn makes me think he really likes his ace (AK or better).
Note effective stacks are 160 BBs.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($129.70)
MP ($74.70)
CO ($79.05)
Button ($56.10)
SB ($30.15)
BB ($13.80)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $2, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: ($4.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.5</font>, CO calls $3.50.

Turn: ($11.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $11</font>, Hero calls $11.

River: ($33.75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $113.2 (All-In)

[Micro Donk]

i dont like trying to make people fold 2 pair at places like 50NL, cause "omg its 2 pair i cant fold"

[Phildo]

NM

[Check_The_Nuts]

really bad. Yeah really bad. The fact you have an A in my mind makes it slightly more likely he has a monster instead of just AK.

just from a pure bet size perspective I don't like it. He has to be folding a huge percentage of his range to be turning a profit. I think even if he folds AK this could be -EV.

Especially if he only bets turn with AQ+ or even AK+. Then yeah maybe he folds AK but he's still gunna call with a set.

[kurto]

This is player specific. Mostly I don't like it. Because if you really wanted value why would you overbet like that? I call these bets a lot because it feels like you want me to fold.

[creamfillin]

Villain calls too much on the river; so let's bluff the river.

Does not compute.

[Check_The_Nuts]

I put AK into stove vs AQ/AJ/all sets (no two pairs, which is probably wrong). Humm maybe I should add A10. Anyhow with the 1st range its 62/38. Meaning you'll get him to fold 62% of the time if he folds AK/AQ and lower. Take out AJ and its about 50/50.

I think your offering him to call $50 to win 80, so thats 8:5 or 1.6:1. So 1/2.6=38.5%. Lol wow its about 0 EV if your correct and he bets turn with AQ/AK but folds both on the river.

[traz]

what're you trying to fold out here?

[Scuba Chuck]

Just so we're clear here, this is precisely how I play KdQd, because we're deeper than norm. If villain has 2 pair it's AT, A7, A5, 75. No way I run this with stacks more shallow than current situation, and even here it might be thin.

[kaz2107]

ewww yuck. the reason i dislike this is because i actually think we r like 50/50 on his range. that being said i like makin it like 25 or sumtin and then folding to a shove.

i just think turning our hand into a bluff here is no good. wut is the point??? there r only a few hands that he has that r ahead of u and half of them or so dont fold n e wayz. he calls with a flush obv and prolly with some sets.

meh i just think this is fps too much and in an unnesissary spot