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Old 12-01-2007, 06:49 AM
ZeeJustin ZeeJustin is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 4,381
Default Re: Two interesting hands from today\'s $2500 @ Bellagio

Hand 1: I think A8 and T8 are very likely hands for him. The fact that the ace is a diamond is very relevant as it decreases his semi-bluff percent, although hands like JTdd are still likely. 88 is a huge possibility. A bluff or weak semi bluff seems fairly unlikely given the player described, but not impossible. Flopped sets are possible too, but less likely than the other hands I've mentioned.

That being said, I call with A8 and A3, but probably fold T8, but do not hate a call with that hand. Anything worse I fold.

Usually players that overbet bluff make it obvious that they are complete clowns that will go broke soon before they overbet bluff, and this player does not seem like one of them.

Hand 2: Hate the reraise pre. I don't hate the 4 bet as much, but the way you described his actions really makes it sounds like he has JJ which makes me inclined to say fold as played. If you think it's unlikely the player in question would think that long with JJ, then I'm fine with the 4 bet, but that doesn't seem to be the case.
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