2/4 - AK river decision

[Dazarath]

Villain is uchi14 (or something like that). He's a straight-forward TAG that leans on the passive side. Stats are 21/9. I usually 3-bet preflop, but this time I decided to call because one of the limpers was a big fish, and I have position on the PFR, so I don't hate my spot. I think the river leans towards a fold, but since I played the hand rather passively, I feel that he could be valuebetting worse. Or am I stupid to think that and at best I'm chopping?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $401.60
Hero (BB): $561.15
UTG: $425.80
CO: $372.40
BTN: $1,091.20

Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG calls $4.00, CO folds, BTN calls $4.00, <font color="red">SB raises to $28.00</font>, Hero calls $24.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($64) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $44.00</font>, Hero calls $44.00

Turn: ($152) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($152) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $152.00</font>, Hero calls $152.00

Pot Size: $456.00 ($2 Rake)

[pdoran10]

I played some against this villain and im leaning towards a pretty clear fold on the river. I completely agree that the worst hand he is betting on the river is AK. I have his AF at like 0.64 and his PFR at like 5.5 so far FWIW, sure u have a bigger sample size.

[List]

I have his AF much higher. Also:

POKERSTARS GAME #10833995913: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($2/$4) - 2007/07/08 - 15:25:24 (ET)
Table 'Haffner II' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: uchi14 ($673.30 in chips)
Seat 2: Well_Sh_t ($460.10 in chips)
Seat 3: humpallot ($884.85 in chips)
Seat 4: List0 ($466.90 in chips)
Seat 5: Poly_Baller ($524.20 in chips)
Seat 6: tmnturtle ($384 in chips)
tmnturtle: posts small blind $2
uchi14: posts big blind $4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to List0 [9c Qc]
Well_Sh_t: folds
humpallot: folds
List0: raises $12 to $16
Poly_Baller: folds
tmnturtle: folds
uchi14: calls $12
*** FLOP *** [8s 3h 4s]
uchi14: checks
List0: bets $24
uchi14: calls $24
*** TURN *** [8s 3h 4s] [9d]
uchi14: checks
List0: checks
*** RIVER *** [8s 3h 4s 9d] [4d]
uchi14: bets $80
List0: calls $80
*** SHOW DOWN ***
uchi14: shows [Td As] (a pair of Fours)
List0: shows [9c Qc] (two pair, Nines and Fours)
List0 collected $239 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $242 | Rake $3
Board [8s 3h 4s 9d 4d]
Seat 1: uchi14 (big blind) showed [Td As] and lost with a pair of Fours
Seat 2: Well_Sh_t folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: humpallot folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: List0 showed [9c Qc] and won ($239) with two pair, Nines and Fours
Seat 5: Poly_Baller (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: tmnturtle (small blind) folded before Flop


You need to call the river.

[sdv]

obvious call. He knew that you didn't had Q, so AK, KJ, pure bluff.
I don't like turn check also. I'll bet it 112-122.