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  #11  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:49 PM
xjimraketex xjimraketex is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

its 2.3832995 x 10^-8 EXACTLY!

first u take the probability of both player holding a pair, then u have 5 cards to hit the other 4 cards...
its not that hard, but its way too much to type here...

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  #12  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:51 PM
SkeetyMcdoogle SkeetyMcdoogle is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

i have no clue how to really calculate stuff but ill try

HU to flop i assume

you hit set = (2/48 + 2/47 +2/46)
you hit quads on turn = (2/48 + 2/47 +2/46) * 1/45
he hits quads on turn = (2/48 + 2/47 +2/46) * 1/45

so odds = [(2/48 + 2/47 +2/46) * 1/45]^2

i suck at stat, am terrible at math, and never use it when i play cards so im pretty sure thats completely wrong

ENJOY
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  #13  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:53 PM
xjimraketex xjimraketex is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

u forgot the probability that either player has to have a pair in the hole...
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  #14  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:53 PM
Stealthy Stealthy is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

Definately 50/50

Poker Stars, $2/$4 Limit Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises</font>, 3 folds, SB calls, BB calls

Flop: (6 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets</font>, SB folds, BB calls

Turn: (4 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets</font>, <font color="red">BB raises</font>, <font color="red">Hero 3-bets</font>, BB calls

River: (10 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises</font>, <font color="red">BB 3-bets</font>, <font color="red">Hero caps</font>, BB calls

Results: 18 BB Pot (0.75 BB Rake)
Hero showed Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (four of a kind, Queens) and WON 17.25 BB (+8.75 BB NET)
BB mucked 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and LOST (-8.5 BB NET)
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  #15  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:54 PM
SkeetyMcdoogle SkeetyMcdoogle is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

i think i forgot the part where they both hae to hit sets to

someone do it right im curious now
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  #16  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:55 PM
xjimraketex xjimraketex is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

lol
if it wasnt bbv, i guess id actually do that...

oh wait, i have a life...
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  #17  
Old 11-10-2007, 01:56 PM
SkeetyMcdoogle SkeetyMcdoogle is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

yes go and live your dream life of responding to other threads and masturbating to 2+2
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  #18  
Old 11-10-2007, 02:02 PM
xjimraketex xjimraketex is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

[ QUOTE ]
yes go and live your dream life of responding to other threads and masturbating to 2+2

[/ QUOTE ]
you dirty little ... [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
stop teasin me like that!

<font color="white"> no but really, isnt it like 1 x 3/51 x 4/50 x 3/49 (2/48 + 2/47 + 2/46) 2/45 x 1/42 x 1/40

????? </font>

btw move topic...
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  #19  
Old 11-10-2007, 04:48 PM
Bv3 Bv3 is offline
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Default Re: What are the odds?

100% because it already happened
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