$6.50 Turbo - Good Bubble Fold?

[calmB4storm]

Sorry, converter's not working...

I think villain should be pushing ATC, but he seemed somewhat clueless so I put him on top 50%. I don't have SNGPT, so can anyone run this for me? Thanks.

Full Tilt Poker Game #1344001888: $6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) (9456438), Table 1 - 120/240 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:46:02 ET - 2006/12/02
Seat 1: 40Pirate (7,440)
Seat 2: baseballstud17 (4,640)
Seat 4: calmB4storm (1,110)
Seat 5: ishelmae (310)
baseballstud17 posts the small blind of 120
calmB4storm posts the big blind of 240
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to calmB4storm [6d Ad]
ishelmae folds
40Pirate folds
baseballstud17 raises to 4,640, and is all in
calmB4storm folds
Uncalled bet of 4,400 returned to baseballstud17
baseballstud17 mucks
baseballstud17 wins the pot (480)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 480 | Rake 0
Seat 1: 40Pirate (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: baseballstud17 (small blind) collected (480), mucked
Seat 4: calmB4storm (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 5: ishelmae didn't bet (folded)

[bluefeet]

i'm 100% it would recommend that you first apologize for considering calling, and then to fold [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[RexWoo]

It is a fold for sure until the short stack is out.

[taipan168]

[ QUOTE ]
I think villain should be pushing ATC, but he seemed somewhat clueless so I put him on top 50%. I don't have SNGPT, so can anyone run this for me? Thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]
Just to reinforce the others' point:
- If Villain is pushing top 50% this is -4.8% EV
- If Villain is pushing ATC this is -3.3% EV

[STALLOWN3D]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think villain should be pushing ATC, but he seemed somewhat clueless so I put him on top 50%. I don't have SNGPT, so can anyone run this for me? Thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]
Just to reinforce the others' point:
- If Villain is pushing top 50% this is -4.8% EV
- If Villain is pushing ATC this is -3.3% EV

[/ QUOTE ]

taipan168,

Just to give OP even more of an idea can you post what hands SNGPT says to call with (I don't have it on this comp ). I have to assume it would only say to call with AA and maybe KK.

[RexWoo]

The good call range here is :
* 99+ vs 100%
* QQ+ vs 50%

[STALLOWN3D]

[ QUOTE ]
The good call range here is :
* 99+ vs 100%
* QQ+ vs 50%

[/ QUOTE ]

That is much looser than I expected. Is this mostly due to the fact that Hero will be in SB next hand when shortie is BB? Sorry if this is a dumb question, I just like reasoning other than what SNGPT tells me

[taipan168]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The good call range here is :
* 99+ vs 100%
* QQ+ vs 50%

[/ QUOTE ]
That is much looser than I expected. Is this mostly due to the fact that Hero will be in SB next hand when shortie is BB? Sorry if this is a dumb question, I just like reasoning other than what SNGPT tells me

[/ QUOTE ]
It is because Hero is shortstacked himself so is far from a shoe-in for 1st or 2nd place.

If we assume it is the big stack pushing and the second stack calling, then the calling range is KK+ if big stack pushes 50% and QQ+ if big stack pushes 100%.