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#1061
11-08-2007, 10:45 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
Wow, WTF?
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 PL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter Hero (SB): $97.50 BB: $104.25 UTG: $19.90 UTG+1: $102.80 MP1: $275.55 MP2: $102.50 CO: $59 BTN: $208.40 CO posts $0.50 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) 2 folds, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $4</font>, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.50, BB folds Flop: ($9.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, MP1 checks Turn: ($9.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, MP1 folds Results: $9.50 Pot ($0.45 Rake) Hero mucked J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and WON $9.05 (+$5.05 NET) |
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#1065
11-08-2007, 10:59 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
LOL involved
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#1066
11-08-2007, 11:14 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
[ QUOTE ]
Wow, WTF? Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 PL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter Hero (SB): $97.50 BB: $104.25 UTG: $19.90 UTG+1: $102.80 MP1: $275.55 MP2: $102.50 CO: $59 BTN: $208.40 CO posts $0.50 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) 2 folds, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $4</font>, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.50, BB folds Flop: ($9.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, MP1 checks Turn: ($9.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, MP1 folds Results: $9.50 Pot ($0.45 Rake) Hero mucked J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and WON $9.05 (+$5.05 NET) [/ QUOTE ] he missed on a pretty scary board? |
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#1067
11-08-2007, 11:21 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
[ QUOTE ]
It can get much worse. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, many players vastly underestimate the effects of variance and the potential to run bad. Just a simple example. Let's say you normally run 2ptbb/100. You have an 8 buy-in downswing. Given your 2ptbb/100 rate, it will take you on average 20K hands to get back to zero. So your break-even stretch is going to be 20K plus the length of the downswing. So depending on the abruptness of the downswing, you're probably looking at something between a 25K to 40K break-even stretch. And what if your recovery is slow? Say you only run 1ptbb/100 while recovering? Then you're looking at 40K hands to get back to break even. So now suddenly were talking about a 45K to 60K break even stretch. And that's for just an 8 buy-in downswing. 8 buy-ins is harsh, but I don't think particularly spectacular or unusual at all. So up to a 60K break even stretch is not going to be all that rare. Everybody thinks, "It can't happen to me" but it can get much worse than even that. |
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#1068
11-08-2007, 11:26 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
Agree, I'm just waiting for the 8 BI upswing in 2k hands that I put in on someday. It will come again. My style is pretty swingy so 10 BI should be expected. Thankfully, it hasn't happened to me too often.
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#1069
11-08-2007, 11:29 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
[ QUOTE ]
he missed on a pretty scary board? [/ QUOTE ] He could at least give me a cbet! |
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#1070
11-08-2007, 11:39 PM
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Re: This is how you burninate a level:
It's not Friday already, is it?
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter BTN: $71.65 SB: $36.15 Hero (BB): $85.35 UTG: $18.75 UTG+1: $68.40 UTG+2: $17.35 MP1: $61.30 MP2: $42.70 CO: $100.40 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 3 folds, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $4</font>, 4 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15</font>, MP1 calls $11 Flop: ($30.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $20</font>, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $46.30 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $26.30 Turn: ($123.10) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 is All-In) River: ($123.10) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 is All-In) Results: $123.10 Pot ($3 Rake) Hero showed K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (a pair of Kings) and WON $120.10 (+$58.80 NET) MP1 mucked 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and LOST (-$61.30 NET) |
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