AJ in trouble

[xerber]

villain is unknown

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $0.25/$0.5
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, CO calls, SB calls.

Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6SB, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, SB calls.

Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4.5BB, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises</font>, SB folds, Hero...

I think i can only beat a(semi-)bluff - but it´s more likely that an unknown plays a set or two pair like this.
I really hate these spots - i can hardly let this go.

Is this worth a calldown?

[timotheeeee]

Wrong forum?

Anyway, w/o a read, you should fold this -35% of the time.

[strategery]

Right forum.

Your hand is pretty easy for villain to read here so he probably has you beat when he raises the turn. However, against an unkown at this limit, I calldown and make a note on the player.

[Riku]

Just call down. Sometimes you win, sometimes you loose, then move on.

[mvoss]

[ QUOTE ]
Wrong forum?

Anyway, w/o a read, you should fold this -35% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF, this post makes no sense whatsoever.

OP just call down, your hand will hold up often enough.

[Tryptamean]

standard calldown, he could be doing this with any ace and you'll usually have 3-9 outs if behind

[strategery]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Wrong forum?

Anyway, w/o a read, you should fold this -35% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF, this post makes no sense whatsoever.

OP just call down, your hand will hold up often enough.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think he's saying you should call down 135% of the time

[TheHip41]

i have never folded this hand in this spot online. to do so would be to hate money.

[WhiteWolf]

Vs. unknown, standard calldown. You have to risk 2 BB to win 8.5 (= current pot + his river bet), so it's not like you have to be good a huge amount of the time to make calling down +EV.

[StellarWind]

1. If you fold AJ you are folding most of your range. You won't have a better hand than AJ in this situation often enough to prevent Villain from making excellent money by always bluffing. That makes your fold highly incorrect from a game theory perspective.

2. The positional arrangment and somewhat scary board creates a strong incentive for Villain to combine hand protection with a free showdown by raising a mediocre hand in front of the third player.

3. Villain limped in cutoff and is unlikely to have a better ace or a set. Most of the likely hands that beat you are two-pair atrocities against which you have many outs.