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  #1  
Old 11-05-2007, 12:08 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Default Re: $235 6-man [censored] me with a chainsaw

[ QUOTE ]
PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t200 (3 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

Button (t505)
SB (t6365)
Hero (t2130)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to t2200</font>, Hero?

Villian has been pretty active since he had a stack.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that's the first time I've ever seen SNGWhiz get the "xx call Diff%" axis lower limit down to -25%. As I suspected, it's a fold and it's not really all that close.
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  #2  
Old 11-05-2007, 12:59 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Default Re: $235 6-man [censored] me with a chainsaw

Here's the $EV plot for suzzer's call with JJ versus SB's pushing range. Like people have been saying, break-even is around 75% and if he's pushing 100%, the call is +1.38%, which is solid.

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  #3  
Old 11-05-2007, 05:47 PM
wiggs73 wiggs73 is offline
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Default Re: $235 6-man [censored] me with a chainsaw

i'd fold while cursing a lot, etc.

edit - After skimming the thread, seems like if SB is on any 2, its a call. While that might be true, idk if he actually IS on any 2, so I think it's pretty close and I'd still lean towards folding.

"Villian has been pretty active since he had a stack." - not 100% sure what this means, I guess if you think he's pushing any 2 then call. Maybe if he's shoved every SB vs. BB for the last 7 orbits or whatever... But even though he should be pushing any 2, keep in mind he might not be. People playing the opposite of how they should is how we all make money.

Anyway, close but I probably fold, fwiw.
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