50NL Flop straight on draw heavy board. Line check.

[jamez_kerry]

Hey all,

Been a while since I posted here but this is a hand I found interesting.

Comments / advice on all streets welcome!

Titan Poker 0.25/0.50, hand converted by the iPoker Converter at Talking-Poker

saw flop | <font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button ($51.80)
SB SB ($31.49)
BB BB ($48.75)
UTG ($42.80)
UTG+1 ($49.75)
MP MP ($50.43)
MP ($11.50)
MP MP ($67.85)
CO-1 <font color="#C00000">CO-1 ($52.45)</font>
HERO <font color="blue">CO ($51.75)</font> A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Preflop: , 2 folds, MP calls 0.50, 1 fold, MP calls 0.50, CO-1 calls 0.50, HERO calls 0.50, 1 fold, SB calls 0.25, BB checks.

Flop (3.00) 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
SB bets 1.50, 3 folds, CO-1 raises to 5.00, HERO calls 5.00, 1 fold.

Turn (14.50) 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
CO-1 bets 9.00, HERO calls 9.00.

River (32.50) T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
CO-1 bets 8.00, HERO calls 8.00

[CalledDownLight]

$15 on the flop. I'd raise the turn to $30. Definitely shove the river. Basically its way too passive.

[AllTheCheese]

EDIT: I messed up.

Board: 2d 4d 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.042% 49.05% 03.99% 24279 1977.00 { 55-44, 22, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad2d, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, Td8d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 8d7d, 7d6d, 54s, AcTd, AdTh, AdTs, Ad9c, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ac8d, Ad8c, Ad8h, Ad8s, Ac7d, Ad7c, Ad7h, Ad7s, Ac6d, Ad6c, Ad6h, Ad6s, Ac5d, Ad5c, Ad5h, Ad5s, Ac4d, Ad4c, Ad4h, Ad4s, Ac3d, Ad3c, Ad3h, Ad3s }
Hand 1: 46.958% 42.96% 03.99% 21267 1977.00 { Ac3d }

This is his "play for stacks" range, I'd imagine.

[CalledDownLight]

lol you [censored] the board up

[AllTheCheese]

ROFL! Yikes, I'll fix it.

[AllTheCheese]

Still IMO, I think raising is pretty marginal here. NFD's might fold, our cold raise looks a lot like a flush. That will weight his range towards more hands that have us drawing dead. I'll take out half of the NFDs and see what happens.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.970% 55.56% 01.41% 22002 558.00 { 55-44, 22, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad2d, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, Td8d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 54s, Ac9d, Ad9c, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ad8c, Ad8h, Ad8s, Ad7c, Ad7h, Ad7s, Ad6c, Ad6h, Ad6s }
Hand 1: 43.030% 41.62% 01.41% 16482 558.00 { Ac3d }

Meh, still pretty close. Raising isn't as bad as I thought.

[CalledDownLight]

He can't have the 3d or 4d either. The river bet just seems way too weak for him to have a flush. I couldn't justify just calling myself. If I was drawing to the NFD here I also shove this river some of the time.

[jamez_kerry]

Yeah I think I should have raised the river looking back at it, and got a bit more value from it.

Didn't want to raise the flop because I knew if he was on a big draw he would likely push and I thats a call I would not like to make.

He had three 2's btw.