bluffing a nit. 500 NL

jj12 · #1 10-03-2007, 05:29 PM

Villain is 17/14/2 WTSD 17 over 100 ish hands. He has been folding to a lot of flop bets.

No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2.50/$5
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $554.60
Hero: $437.50
Button: $1041.51
SB: $516.55
BB: $514.00

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG folds, Hero raises to $20, Button folds, BB calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($42.5, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($42.5, 3 players)
BB bets $30, Hero raises to $90, BB calls.

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($222.5, 3 players)
BB bets $112, Hero raises all-in $327.5.

JDLade · #2 10-03-2007, 05:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
He has been folding to a lot of flop bets.

[/ QUOTE ]

cbet?

[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

jj12 · #3 10-03-2007, 05:40 PM

i think his range includes a lot of small pocket pairs. queen was perfect card to raise.

jj12 · #4 10-03-2007, 05:44 PM

his hand looks like AQ, no?

FireStorm · #5 10-03-2007, 06:29 PM

Cbet the flop. As played unless he's extremely weak here, he's probably not folding very often.

jj12 · #6 10-03-2007, 06:31 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Cbet the flop. As played unless he's extremely weak here, he's probably not folding very often.

[/ QUOTE ]

so you are bet/calling river with AQ vs TAG with solid image?

bboy_ · #7 10-03-2007, 06:41 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Cbet the flop. As played unless he's extremely weak here, he's probably not folding very often.

[/ QUOTE ]

so you are bet/calling river with AQ vs TAG with solid image?

[/ QUOTE ]

+ the retarded line you took, yes

jj12 · #8 10-03-2007, 06:45 PM

I think the flush is really bad against for his hand. He almost never has a flush and a lot of people would raise turn with Adxd.

jpsnow · #9 10-03-2007, 06:45 PM

why do you think he is betting this river w/ AQ after he calls your turn bet. If he was trying to get money in I would think he would try before the 3 flush hits.

That being said, his range looks a lot like diamonds so this will probably never/rarely work. I cant really think of much else in his range

jj12 · #10 10-03-2007, 06:47 PM

you must be crazy. tight postflop players never call a raise on a paired board with flush draw unless they have a pair. The only diamond hand he could concievably b/c on turn is Ad2d.