nl25 - was I wrong to bet the river?

gobby888 · #1 07-31-2007, 07:25 PM

Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Button ($19.85)
SB ($16.40)
BB ($20.00)
UTG ($19.43)
Hero ($20.50)
CO ($27.56)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.8, CO calls $0.80, 2 folds, BB calls $0.60.

Flop: ($2.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.5, CO calls $2.50, BB folds.

Turn: ($7.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $7.5, CO calls $7.50.

River: ($22.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $9.7 (All-In).

Final Pot: $32.20

No reads on villain as I've just sat down. I played it aggressively, pot betting on every street, villain flat calls (later hands tell me he's a calling station). When the flush draw hits on the river, was my pot size bet good or not? Do I have sufficient fold equity to make this a +EV move?

TheBobn · #2 07-31-2007, 07:35 PM

what fold equity are you talking about? He's never folding a flush on the river, you're trying to get KQ/KT/Kx to call. If you think his range is weighted more towards pairs(i.e. K,J, etc) and he wont fold them, then bet the river. If you think he has QT often enough to bluff the river, then c/c. If you think the only hand he could have is a flush, then c/f, but for less than a 1/2 pot bet im never c/f the river.

murmeltier21 · #3 07-31-2007, 07:51 PM

i c/c this river all day long. he will bluff with more hands that you beat than he will call with.

btw: what fold equity do you mean?? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Rounder101 · #4 07-31-2007, 08:04 PM

Definetely c/c, is the best line.
You are probably beat, but getting 3-1 odds if he shoves u have to call.

wikemang · #5 07-31-2007, 08:08 PM

c/c

gobby888 · #6 07-31-2007, 08:09 PM

fold equity - i bluff that ive hit my flush, getting him to fold? I'm probably way out here. Can someone please correct my bad

murmeltier21 · #7 07-31-2007, 08:15 PM

your hand definately does not look like a flush.
so what you are trying to do is bluff him off a worse king with your fold equity right?
just check the river and don't be mad if it goes check check. id be happy to take this pot home with TPTK.
if you c/c you might catch him bluffing with QT or some random cards trying to rep a flush. when you bet you only get called by better hands i think