WPT Aruba Hand

[JSchnett]

I fold

[djk123]

[ QUOTE ]
i am shocked at how many people don't think this is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes if villain was the typical live player i would agree that this is an easy fold. but i don't see how we can just ignore the given description of the dude. g2cu said he was 3 betting a lot, so he is certainly capable of raising 77-99 here, if not an outright squeeze.

also his earlier slowplaying tendencies suggest that he would likely make a smaller raise with AA and possibly KK.

Discounting 3 combos of AA, one KK, 2 99, 3 88, 3 77

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

688,346,208 games 0.005 secs 137,669,241,600 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.552% 47.63% 00.92% 327887322 6315417.00 { TT }
Hand 1: 51.448% 50.53% 00.92% 347828052 6315417.00 { AcAs, AdAs, AhAs, KcKh, KcKs, KdKh, KdKs, KhKs, QQ-TT, 9c9s, 9d9h, 9d9s, 9h9s, 8c8s, 8d8s, 8h8s, 7c7s, 7d7s, 7h7s, AJs+, AQo+ }

[creeps]

i just don't see what you have beat here. you're obviously getting called. i don't like it personally but if you had the read go w/ your gut.

[creeps]

soooo obv he had u beat. whats the result

[Confused1]

[ QUOTE ]
i am shocked at how many people don't think this is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

[FGators]

This just doesn't seem like the type of guy to be 3 betting light with 87s given his description but maybe looks aren't everything. I just think it's a fold because A) it's live and B) he's old.

I kind of agree with luckychewy and Gobbo here...

Also something just doesn't add up with his stats or good2cu's description.

He raises 5% of the hands yet is a 3 bet maven?

Actually the more I type the easier a fold I think this is.

[shaundeeb]

I shove cuz it's live and he will fold JJ faceup, nah honestly your pt stats guestimate have to be off for him to be raising 5% obv that's less then once every 2 orbits. I thought folding just reading the HH but it's live trust your reads stick it in there.

[djk123]

[ QUOTE ]
This just doesn't seem like the type of guy to be 3 betting light with 87s given his description but maybe looks aren't everything. I just think it's a fold because A) it's live and B) he's old.

I kind of agree with luckychewy and Gobbo here...

Also something just doesn't add up with his stats or good2cu's description.

He raises 5% of the hands yet is a 3 bet maven?

Actually the more I type the easier a fold I think this is.

[/ QUOTE ]

look at my post.. he doesn't need to be 3 betting light for it to be a shove

[Pudge714]

I misread OP. I though G2cu opened. As is it is a lot closer and I need to think about it more.