NL50: TPTK against tricky player

[Route66]

Villain is around 22/14/4 over ~60 hands. I've seen him check-raise, and river bets from him could be stone bluffs or value bets, same size either way. I'm running around 20/10/1.4.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP1 ($47.50)
MP2 ($64.30)
MP3 ($15.25)
CO ($9.90)
Hero ($51.10)
SB ($25)
BB ($52.10)
UTG ($31.80)
UTG+1 ($38.35)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4.75) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($4.75) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to $7.5</font>, Hero calls $5.

River: ($19.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets $15</font>, Hero ???

[bottomset]

I'd call but I think I call to light in spots like this

[BT2]

i think calling and folding are about the same in the long run.

[CalledDownLight]

You're not behind here very often at all IMO. His stats looks like he is decent even over small sample and this shouldn't be a big hand from him too often. Unless he has 10 10 ?I would think you are good here a lot of the time.

[Landlord79]

I'd call and not raise to keep the pot smaller with just top pair.

[shinytoygunz]

i'd fold here. i would see a set here more often than a bluff.

[Route66]

Yeah, he showed 22... I just couldn't put him on a set after he checked the flop and turn. I knew he was capable of check raising so I checked behind on the flop. On the turn, I figured he might have a med pocket pair and put me on AK. I called thinking there was no sense in letting him know the turn helped me... then on the river I sort of felt like I had induced a bluff. Somehow I talked myself into thinking he was on flush draw but didn't want to lose to Ace high and that I couldn't call a good size bet there. He'd made a similar move with air earlier.