Will Michigan play in the BCS Championship Game?

[gila]

+200 on Pinny. Seems like a decent bet, consider if they win, they are in and if they lose, they may also be in.

[Jibba]

Ha ha ... just made the same thread like a minute after you. Mods can lock it if they want.

[knicknut]

Is the probability of them winning this game, then getting embarassed in one of their final games and ending out of the top 2 non-negligable?

[gila]

The way I see it, Florida is the most dangerous. Usc's road is hell, and I cannot believe ND would jump over MI even if they lose. Rutgers also has a tough road. I would put Michigan at 50/50 chance of playing even if they lose, as long as they don't get spanked.

[Austiger]

[ QUOTE ]
Is the probability of them winning this game, then getting embarassed in one of their final games and ending out of the top 2 non-negligable?

[/ QUOTE ]

Ohio State is their last game.

[knicknut]

Oh, sorry. I've really only been following Rutgers, and I know they have a few more games.

[knicknut]

so is this worth a middle opportunity of doing OSU for the game and "Yes" on this prop?

[MyTurn2Raise]

should've jumped on the ML early in the week for them to win the game outright

anyway, the slim chance of them losing and still being in is about 7.5% IMO after mapping out scenarios for teams playing. Compare that to the current moneyline and see if it's 7.5% better.

[chachi]

Championship game =OSU +USC