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#11
11-15-2007, 12:32 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] Think you should offer your friend $2500 now and save paying him $3000 later. Bad bet. 
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#12
11-15-2007, 12:32 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] If I'm remembering my Freakonomics correctly, they stated that Female and Black candidates tended to poll 3-4% higher than they actually received at election. Even considering this she'll probably win. [/ QUOTE ] This was true in the past however recent elections have proven this to be wrong now.
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#13
11-15-2007, 01:09 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
I've got $500 even money vs a friend that she's not going to be our next President.
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#14
11-15-2007, 01:15 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] We should match you and Iron up for some kind of prop-betting Special Olympics.
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#15
11-15-2007, 02:13 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] We should match you and Iron up for some kind of prop-betting Special Olympics. [/ QUOTE ] shh you're ruining my action [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
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#16
11-15-2007, 03:21 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] We should match you and Iron up for some kind of prop-betting Special Olympics. [/ QUOTE ] I think I'm 1-1 lifetime in political prop betting. I won $40 off Elliot on Dem control of the Senate last year and I lost a $10 bet with my dad that Kerry would win. I suspected that he would try to maximize the mileage out of the bet so I mailed him cash instead of a check which would have my name and signature on it. He framed the bill. Outside of politics, my record is much, much worse.
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#17
11-15-2007, 03:25 PM
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Re: Who is betting against Hillary?
[ QUOTE ]
Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts? -TheActionKid [/ QUOTE ] Holy shi'ite this is a phenomenally bad bet. Edit: I misread the OP. I was thinking Democratic Nomination, not president. It's not a *terrible* bet, but I think she's basically 50-50 for Pres. Maybe 3:2 against.
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