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#1
11-14-2007, 09:26 PM
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JJ - 150 bb deep - drawy flop
villain is 24/20. AGG by street: 8.5/8.5/2.5 (1500 hands)
no history saw him play a flush draw passively in a 3bet pot earlier, different situation though as stacks were only 70bb deep there. also saw him call of his stack at another table w/98o, he was the pfr, 9 high flop, J turn, A river...he called 3 pot sized bets. Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: $200 Hero (MP): $300.85 CO: $331.55 BTN: $200 SB: $210.85 BB: $248.35 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP) UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, CO calls $7, 3 folds Flop: ($17) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $12</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $40</font>, Hero calls $28 Turn: ($97) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $72</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $253.85 and is All-In</font>, std? 
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#2
11-14-2007, 09:41 PM
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Re: JJ - 150 bb deep - drawy flop
Tough spot. I guess this is ok. His very high AFs make me think that he normally raises draws - I imagine the other hand was so that he wouldn't get raised all in, and maybe be in a crappy spot. There are less combos of sets now too.
I think every turn line is viable, really, with c/f being last, and c/c being second to last but not that bad.
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#4
11-14-2007, 09:48 PM
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Re: JJ - 150 bb deep - drawy flop
I think getting it in on the turn is much better than getting it in on the flop, because we have a lot better equity against pair+straight/pair+flush draws.
However, for the turn crai, we don't have a lot of fold equity. He's probably folding 0% of the time for the hands I'm putting him on, which are mostly pair + draw, A9, flush draws, two pairs, and sets. Maybe it'd be better to lead into him with a committing bet on the turn. If he doesn't now have trips, that's a great turn card for you.
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