200NL: AA facing raise on paired board

[bariban]

Villain is a bad regular, 18/11/2 over 1200 hands (most datamined).


Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($331.69)
BB ($229.96)
UTG ($197.00)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($319.80)</font>
CO ($480.69)
<font color="#C00000">Button ($599.42)</font>

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls $8, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($19) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $13</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $40</font>, Hero ?.

Call and evaluate on turn? What if he bets 2/3 pot on a blank turn?

[HumbertHumbert]

call...i hate it but i would fold if he bets again on turn.

a flushdraw is a little unlikely as you can discount the ace, king and jack of hearts from his cards.