#101
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
How often do you guys middle your early week bets? I am sitting here on Thurs, looking at about 4-5 2+ point middles I could go for. It will reduce my variance, but also kind of "ruins" what looks like a good bet from earlier in the week.
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#102
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
Schwatt,
You can calc whether you should from Kelly Criterion. In all likelihood if you can lineshop around and can get a vigfree price.. You should hedge atleast some if not all. |
#103
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
take into consideration what numbers you have middles on,, if these are total numbers that are crap, it wouldnt matter too much in the long run
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#104
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
[ QUOTE ]
take into consideration what numbers you have middles on,, if these are total numbers that are crap, it wouldnt matter too much in the long run [/ QUOTE ] Most of the reason to take the hedges are so that your median bankroll is higher than it'd be now. It reduces your exposure. Optimally you'll likely only hedge a portion. |
#105
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
Just saw that the team totals at TheGreek are 15 cent lines. Yuck. I miss Pinny sometimes, although I will say that I'm getting to like Matchbook a lot.
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#106
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
Thanks for the replies guys.
I obviously won't middle things like -14.5 to +15.5 and the like. I obviously will take the vig-free middles even when they land on garbage numbers. My main question is should I middle stuff like -16.5 @ -110 and +17.5 @ -110? Is this standard to pay 10 cents vig to hit a common number? If this is okay, what is too much vig? The numbers I am always looking for are 3,7,10,14,17,20,21,24 etc. Thanks again. |
#107
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
brag: i've won the same cake poker rebuy tourney twice in last ten days for 6.3k and 5.2k respectively.
beat: ncaa football is only two days away variance: maybe i won't bet many games this time |
#108
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
best sportsbetting thread ever
just wanted to say that and not ruin the perfect responses that have been given thus far |
#109
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
/rul....i must be tired
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#110
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Re: *** Official August -- October Chatter Thread ***
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