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#12
11-15-2007, 12:42 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
Results...
I folded. I figured best case this is AK, more likely jj+. In retrospect I think its a call though because I was aggro enough that this looked like a steal. 
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#13
11-15-2007, 02:05 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
We are calling ~$35 to win ~$62
Therefore as long as AK makes up part of his range we can call. Folding isnt horrible to reduce variance. Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 58,218,336 games 0.005 secs 11,643,667,200 games/sec Board: Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 36.190% 35.98% 00.21% 20947296 121978.00 { JcJh } Hand 1: 63.810% 63.60% 00.21% 37027084 121978.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
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#14
11-15-2007, 02:27 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
If he weren't 20/2 this would be a snap call. His stats make me a little leery. The pokerstoving above assumes equally weighted ranges, which is unlikely.
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#15
11-15-2007, 02:51 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
[ QUOTE ]
If he weren't 20/2 this would be a snap call. His stats make me a little leery. The pokerstoving above assumes equally weighted ranges, which is unlikely. [/ QUOTE ] 16 Combinations of AK/AKs 6 Combinations of AA 6 Combinations of KK 6 Combinations of QQ Fair point. Its close, but at the same time I didnt add in the chance of an underpair either, theres always ~10% chance he is - just on tilt - pissed off with you - putting you on a squeeze. My instinct here would be to fold (given his PFR% and the coldcall/reraise). The maths show its very close even if we give him a nitty range. In any case my point was that you must consider the pot odds you are being offered. You dont have to be above his range to get it in profitably.
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#16
11-15-2007, 02:53 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
[ QUOTE ]
If he weren't 20/2 this would be a snap call. [/ QUOTE ] I agree with this...I probably call (not liking it)given that this is AK/medium pair often.
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#17
11-15-2007, 03:15 PM
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Re: JJ in BB, 2 razors in front of me
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If he weren't 20/2 this would be a snap call. [/ QUOTE ] I agree with this...I probably call (not liking it)given that this is AK/medium pair often. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, whoops, my reading comprehension sucks. I didn't notice the guy was 20/2. That definitely makes this a much closer decision.
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