*** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***

[TooTallT]

You need to look at big books that have lots of sharp and square players to really know what the market looks like. Just because one book moves from Det +1.5 to PK doesn't mean the whole market is behaving that way. Put it this way, if 94% are on Detroit, why don't you think your book has moved this to Det -3? Shouldn't they be dying for Arizona bets now? They haven't, and they aren't, because they're either getting the 6% are making huge Arizona bets or they are comfortable holding a big Zona position.

Pinnacle is usually a fairly good barometer of the entire market, even though they don't accept US customers anymore. Comparing Pinny, WSEX, and Bookmaker/CRIS probably give a good representation of market movements. Pinny's an extremely successful book and yet always deals -105 or better lines. That's not by accident. That's why many people pay attention to the "Pinny lean." It's not foolproof obviously, but it's one good indicator among many.

[Shoe]

First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread.

Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game.

[nutshot2]

At least you have reasons to back up your lock of the millenium.

[psuasskicker]

[ QUOTE ]
Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game.

[/ QUOTE ]

Done!

On the off-chance the Cowboys don't cover, I hope you've got a nice guest room.

- C -

[shipitkthx]

[ QUOTE ]
First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread.

Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game.

[/ QUOTE ]

I seem to remember posts like this in Week 2 about Cincy...that worked out great.

[cmahn13]

HEllo ALl I am looking in starting Sports betting I would like for one of you to show me how Bet sports and who know the most here... WOuld like your help...

[Lori]

[ QUOTE ]
First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread.

Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you think the true line should be?

[rsigley]

cincy +4.5
dallas -1
detroit +1.5

[Paul B.]

Looks like there's only 1 Wongable game this week. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[kdog]

Look around. Det +1.5 and NY Giants +1.5 are available.