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Old 11-27-2007, 04:11 AM
pete fabrizio pete fabrizio is offline
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Default Re: \"Your dress is nice. It\'ll look better on my floor later.\"

[ QUOTE ]
Against the villain described, I would bet $1500 on the river and fold to a raise. I think his range for betting the river is weighted somewhat heavily towards JT, T8, 99 and 77 in that order.

I think you only need to check the river if the player is tougher than the one described. He will rarely bluff shove over a 35% bet, and when he does, it should be a very easy fold. This way you also get value out of his 2 pairs more effectively than shoving or checking.

[/ QUOTE ]

this post seems kind of wrong to me. I think betting 1/3 of the pot and then folding to a raise is generally a bad play with anything but air (and even then only if you balance it out by betting the same way with the nuts sometimes). it's going to induce a lot of bluff-raises, since your bet looks exactly like what it is, so he may actually bluff his missed hands more often than if checked to, and he may be more inclined to turn his one or even two pair hands that he would normally check behind into bluffs. whereas, when you check to him, he may suspect you are going for a check-call and check back. in other words, i think i would be more tempted to call if I bet 1/3 pot and he raised than I would if I just checked to him and he put in a normal looking value-bet.
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