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#25
11-28-2007, 05:50 PM
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Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
Lenny Del Genio's 15* CBB Non-Conference Rout
Play on UNC Wilmington at 7:05 ET. Not exactly sure what the folks in Toledo did to the schedule makers, but this holiday road trip has been a complete disaster thus far. In the middle of a six-game off-campus swing from 11/16 to 12/4, the Rockets are 0-3 thus far on the road trip, which started with a 66-35 loss at Old Dominion. We played against them in their last time out, and easily cashed with Rhode Island, an 83-57 winner, as 13-point chalk. Toledo has covered the number just 10 times in 35 tries as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and now must face a UNC Wilimington squad that not only excels at getting open shots in the paint (shot 64.3% from the field two games ago), but will be eager to play in front of the home folks for the 1st time since 11/10 (98-91 win over Coll of Charleston). We also know that the Seahawks are 25-7 ATS coming off back-to-back covers as a favorite (both double-digit wins) and remember last year's three point loss in Toledo as 10.5-point pups. This time around, not only do they not need the points, but it will be a rout as well. UNC Wilmington is my 15* CBB Non-Conference Rout. Good luck, Lenny Lenny Del Genio's 20* NBA Total of the Month (2-0 TY w/ 20*)! Play on the Jazz/Sixers Over at 7:05 ET. Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it last January on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. However, after last year's success, he anticipates another banner year. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Jazz/Sixers Over is my 20* NBA Total of the Month! Good luck, Lenny Lenny Del Genio's CBB Underdog of the Week (15-6 in CBB TY!) Play on Boston College at 7:05 ET. We've successfully played against Michigan twice this year (losses to G'town and Butler). We've also successfully played against the Big Ten twice this week against the ACC (Wake Forest over Iowa, Florida State over Minnesota). The ACC's dominance of the ACC/Big Ten challenge continues tonight as BC travels to Michigan to take on the Wolverines. Already, John Beilein has to be regretting his decision to leave Morgantown (West Virginia) for Ann Arbor, as his team has dropped three of four (0-4 ATS), including a sad loss to Western Kentucky on Saturday. BC, on the other hand, comes in unbeaten and excels in the road underdog role (47-26 ATS since 1997), especially as road pups of six or less points (26-13 ATS). The Wolverines shooting has been dreadful this season, even when they won against Eastern Washington (35.2%), so we look for the outright upset from the Eagles. Boston College is my CBB Underdog of the Week. Good luck, Lenny 
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