Chances of the Miami Heat making the playoffs?

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Going into the season I thought they would get the eight spot behind (in no particular order)
Celtics
Bulls
Pistons
Magic
Raptors
Nets
Cavaliers

Teams I thought that would compete with them for the 8th spot would be

Bobcats
Knicks
Bucks
Wizards

My top 7 teams are playing fine (besides chicago who should turn it around) and with an 0-5 start for Miami it looks pretty unlikely that they can pass one of those teams

Given all this, Wades questionable health, and the fact that shaq will play an estimated 50 games, what are the chances the heat make the playoffs?


The crazy thing is, if healthy, I feel like they matchup very well against most of these teams that will finish ahead of them, but the season is getting to be too long for shaq

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Edited the title - keep thinking this is about the Dolphins and getting annoyed.