Hot Dog Eating Contest

[4Tay]

Pinny:

Nathan's Famous 4th of July Hot Dog Eating Contest: Propositions (Kobayashi and Chestnut must eat)

Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?
101 Yes -101
102 No -115

Tue 7/3 How many hot dogs will the winner eat?
103 Over 57 hot dogs -132
104 Under 57 hot dogs +116


Opinions?

[Shrug]

Interesting prop bets.
I wonder how the heat will affect Chestnut's performance, seeing as he recently broke Kobayashi's record.

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?

yes

[/ QUOTE ]

mortal lock, and not a bad price imo

[JasonK]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?

yes

[/ QUOTE ]

mortal lock, and not a bad price imo

[/ QUOTE ]

Aren't you a little concerned that Chestnut beat Koba's record by like 6 dogs?

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?

yes

[/ QUOTE ]

mortal lock, and not a bad price imo

[/ QUOTE ]

Aren't you a little concerned that Chestnut beat Koba's record by like 6 dogs?

[/ QUOTE ]

no.

this is nathan's 4th of july thing. this be the superbowl. Kobayashi will have a stomach surgically added if he needs it.

seriously, the kid is dethroned if he loses the nathan's contest. he will rise to the occasion because he knows he will be instantly obscure with a loss.

[4Tay]

I feel like a degenerate betting this stuff.

I betted Kobayashi to win at -102.

In an interview, he said he has a goal of 60 hot dogs. Chestnut was able to get 59 without the pressure of Kobayashi in the competition. I doubt Chestnut can repeat that kind of performance in one months time.

I'll pass on the over, because Kobayashi has never ate more than 57, and I see him merely keeping pace with Chestnut for the win. However, there's no doubt in my mind that the record will be broken again this time.

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
I'll pass on the over

[/ QUOTE ]

i would have too.

we know it can be 1-2 dogs over, but we know it can EASILY be a few to 1/2 dozen under. it can be hot out there. the crowds will be huge. i would not play with an over/under bet.

they know how many they have eaten as they go, but the winner will only be concerned with eating one more than the second placer.

[KissDeGirl]

kobayashi will win he always does!
[ QUOTE ]
Pinny:

Nathan's Famous 4th of July Hot Dog Eating Contest: Propositions (Kobayashi and Chestnut must eat)

Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?
101 Yes -101
102 No -115

Tue 7/3 How many hot dogs will the winner eat?
103 Over 57 hot dogs -132
104 Under 57 hot dogs +116


Opinions?

[/ QUOTE ]

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
kobayashi will win he always does!
[ QUOTE ]
Pinny:

Nathan's Famous 4th of July Hot Dog Eating Contest: Propositions (Kobayashi and Chestnut must eat)

Tue 7/3 Will Takeru Kobayashi win?
101 Yes -101
102 No -115

Tue 7/3 How many hot dogs will the winner eat?
103 Over 57 hot dogs -132
104 Under 57 hot dogs +116


Opinions?

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm still loving Kobayashi in the hip to hip battle. but i am starting to convince myself to put the max on the under.

[4Tay]

There's another thread in the Sports Betting forum with good analysis:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...=0#Post10752352