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#11
11-07-2007, 08:10 AM
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Re: River turns ugly/SB play
[ QUOTE ]
grunch I call the river, can't see myself folding here, especially against players at this limit [/ QUOTE ] I don't bet my weak top pair into 3 people on the flop though. -Fluffy_Shark 
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#12
11-07-2007, 11:23 AM
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Re: River turns ugly/SB play
I don't understand the poker tracker (?) rankings at the top so this may be colouring my answer.
My question is why do you think you are good on the flop and turn? HJ could very likely have raised with amongst other things 10, JJ, AJ, KJ, QJ, QQ, KK, AA, AK, AQ (ignoring of course the from that position (of the hands which could beat you which are likely giv.
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#13
11-07-2007, 12:16 PM
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Re: River turns ugly/SB play
[ QUOTE ]
My question is why do you think you are good on the flop and turn? HJ could very likely have raised with amongst other things 10, JJ, AJ, KJ, QJ, QQ, KK, AA, AK, AQ (ignoring of course the from that position (of the hands which could beat you which are likely giv. [/ QUOTE ] There was no raise from the hijack. Hero limped in from SB and led out when he flopped top pair. When no one raised the flop we are likewly in the lead. The turn gives us a flush draw with our pair of jacks so we bet again, and again just get called. There is no reason to think that a pair of jacks is behind here given this action.
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#14
11-07-2007, 01:44 PM
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Re: River turns ugly/SB play
[/ QUOTE ]There was no raise from the hijack. Hero limped in from SB and led out when he flopped top pair. When no one raised the flop we are likewly in the lead. The turn gives us a flush draw with our pair of jacks so we bet again, and again just get called. There is no reason to think that a pair of jacks is behind here given this action. [/ QUOTE ]
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#15
11-07-2007, 01:49 PM
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Re: River turns ugly/SB play
Flop is good. I'd like to go for a c/r (value and protecting from overs) hoping that the aggressive UTG+1 would bet - however, as that flop is so dry we cannot be sure of a bet so leading is good.
JJ or TT are not likely as there was no raise preflop. 22 or 44 are possible as a slowplay on such a dry flop is pretty common. A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] could have peeled the flop. Maybe K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] too. Just call. Hope it is not capped on the river.
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