NL10 - 5x Pot Overbet Shove on the River and All I've Got is a Boat!?!

[yasher]

Alright folks, here we go again. Villain's tight. I've seen him show down like three hands. The only two notables were an AQ hand where he flopped 2pair and bet every street OOP and a hand where he limped Q6s OTB , flopped two pair on a somewhat wet board and bet the flop/turn in position but checked the river behind on a board that really hadn't improved. He's at 26/5/1 over ~50 hands.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $11.30
BB: $1.40
UTG: $10.60
MP: $11.10
CO: $9.85
Hero (BTN): $12.35

Preflop: Hero is dealt 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.10, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, SB calls $0.45, BB calls $0.40, MP calls $0.40

Flop: ($2) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 9 (4 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2) 2 (4 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, Hero checks

River: ($2) 5 (4 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $10.80</font>, BB calls all-in for $0.90, MP calls all-in for $10.60, Hero throws up.

What on earth. Reasonably, I beat what, 22 and the naked A... and there are already a caller! Someone's gotta have 77, 99, 79, 72, 68... right?

This has gotta be a fold, yeah?

[Cam5182]

This spot is awful. I fold here.

I feel like the opening river bet is made with, at the very least, some kind of fullhouse with the intention of getting Ac to call.

[choccypie]

Sicksicksick. I'd curse under my breath and fold this full house as there are 3 other players either all in or calling an all in, chances are at least one of them definitely has you beat.

[Jouster777]

I call...I think you win enough here here

Even with the range you had + 75 that's 19 combos (and I would throw out 72) you lose to and the credible A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]X + 22 combos should be about the same number. I agree having 2 villain's in makes this dicey but we only need to win 1 in 3 to make this a call.

[WCGRider]

Am i the only one who is like SWEET FREE MONEYs for my BOAT!

You arent beat here a lot at all, this is a great spot someone with an ace or a 7 thinks they have teh nuts!!!

[Perk76]

I would be worried about 2 hands. 77/99 since the way the hand played out they could afford not to bet and try something like this. However there are a [censored] of hand that would try this. You can absolutely bet that one of them has the Ac and maybe the other has the Kc/or a lone 7. I think this is a high variance call, but if you ran this enough times you would see profit. Run a few ranges through poker stove and check. (at work, cant stove anything).

[C4LL4W4Y]

folding is unprofitable here, you're getting 2-1 on your money and there are a bunch of hands you beat (namely one card flushes, 22). at 10nl, you're not going to solely see 99/77 here.

[corsakh]

Fun spot. Big props is you folded. I know I would not be able to [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[YanP]

i wouldn't fold, here, there's a bit pot, you have a boat and i can't see many hands that bea you playing like this.

[yasher]

While I realize that this isn't a spot I'm going to see very often, I'd still like some more input on this one!

Obviously, my first instinct was OMG BIG STACK but when I settled down to think about it, especially with the overcaller, I really can't drum up two hands I beat. One, maybe... but two? Am I good here one in three times? I still don't think we've figured that out.