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Old 09-27-2007, 01:32 PM
PHX_Rises PHX_Rises is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
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Default Calculate your Luckiness/How Well You are Running

Some of you may be interested in this. It's not something that will help your game, but it's just a curiosity satisfier.

I built a simple excel model that calculates how you are performing vs. expected on all-in situations before the river.

This is the data screen where you enter your odds to win/lose/tie (I use pokerstove) and the pot specifics. It calculates here what your expected BBs you would take (over a long run of time) vs. what you actually won.

Data Screen

This is the summary screen that shows you the % ranges of where you were when you went all-in, and how well your hands are holding up in those ranges vs. what is expected. Red is where you are running worse than expected; Green is better.

Summary Screen

Finally, this is a graph that shows trends of cumulative BB variance over time.

Graph

As you can see, I've been running like [censored]!

But, anyways, if anyone wants this, I am happy to email it out.

Jonathan
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