Week-long prop bet

[Nate.]

[ QUOTE ]
wow can i get in on the bet that you will lose?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think I have all the action I'm comfortable with for now.

BTW, this hand was funny.

PokerStars Game #7904241617: Omaha Hi/Lo Limit ($0.02/$0.04) - 2007/01/12 - 20:42:46 (ET)
Table 'Adria' 10-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: GrnBttdSkunk ($0.76 in chips)
Seat 2: 5oclockclub ($0.69 in chips)
Seat 3: auntie pete ($1 in chips)
Seat 4: luckynuts1 ($0.38 in chips)
Seat 5: harrison42 ($0.96 in chips)
Seat 6: Mortal Limit ($0.16 in chips)
Seat 7: Speargun ($0.40 in chips)
Seat 8: phungus ($1.57 in chips)
Seat 9: henk63 ($0.41 in chips)
Seat 10: network_man ($0.74 in chips)
auntie pete: posts small blind $0.01
luckynuts1: posts big blind $0.02
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mortal Limit [Ac Td Ad 5s]
harrison42: calls $0.02
Mortal Limit: raises $0.02 to $0.04
Speargun: folds
phungus: folds
henk63: folds
network_man: folds
GrnBttdSkunk: folds
5oclockclub: folds
auntie pete: calls $0.03
luckynuts1: folds
harrison42: calls $0.02
*** FLOP *** [5d 2s 4s]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.02
Mortal Limit: calls $0.02
auntie pete: calls $0.02
*** TURN *** [5d 2s 4s] [Qd]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.04
Mortal Limit: calls $0.04
auntie pete: calls $0.04
*** RIVER *** [5d 2s 4s Qd] [As]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.04
Mortal Limit: folds
auntie pete: calls $0.04
*** SHOW DOWN ***
harrison42: shows [6c 4d 7s 2d] (HI: two pair, Fours and Deuces; LO: 6,5,4,2,A)
auntie pete: mucks hand
harrison42 collected $0.20 from pot
harrison42 collected $0.19 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $0.40 | Rake $0.01
Board [5d 2s 4s Qd As]
Seat 1: GrnBttdSkunk folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: 5oclockclub (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: auntie pete (small blind) mucked [8s Kh Kd Kc]
Seat 4: luckynuts1 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: harrison42 showed [6c 4d 7s 2d] and won ($0.39) with HI: two pair, Fours and Deuces; LO: 6,5,4,2,A
Seat 6: Mortal Limit folded on the River
Seat 7: Speargun folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: phungus folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: henk63 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: network_man folded before Flop (didn't bet)

--Nate

[brandysbich]

If you looking for more action, i'll take a small bet of my $250 to your $200 that you dont do it, seeing as tho you lost 1/6th your BR already.

[Nate.]

[ QUOTE ]
If you looking for more action, i'll take a small bet of my $250 to your $200 that you dont do it, seeing as tho you lost 1/6th your BR already.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks, but I'm not comfortable taking more action on this right now.

--Nate

[Nate.]

[ QUOTE ]
ive been discussing a potential prop bet with a few of my friends. it basically is centered around playing hu 5$ hu nlhe sng's. how many out of 100 is a fair line?

also, one of my friends believes he can win over 75/100 hu plo8 5$sng on stars.

anyhow, good luck nate!

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

BTW, If your friend is good and adjusts I think he's a favorite to win >75 of them. For a while I was running at approximately that clip at higher stakes. Admittedly small sample, but I also knew less about HU PLO8 than I do now.

--Nate

[alphatmw]

care to share what kind of odds you have on the bet?

[Nate.]

[ QUOTE ]
care to share what kind of odds you have on the bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Even money.

--Nate

[bearcats54]

couldnt u have gotten more than even money? starting with only 5 bucks there is a pretty high shot of busto... if it was like 20 or something like that i can see even money.

[samsdmf]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
ive been discussing a potential prop bet with a few of my friends. it basically is centered around playing hu 5$ hu nlhe sng's. how many out of 100 is a fair line?

also, one of my friends believes he can win over 75/100 hu plo8 5$sng on stars.

anyhow, good luck nate!

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

BTW, If your friend is good and adjusts I think he's a favorite to win >75 of them. For a while I was running at approximately that clip at higher stakes. Admittedly small sample, but I also knew less about HU PLO8 than I do now.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]
I would go as far as saying and half decent SNGer should win over 70% at $5, if the few occasions I have played them are anything to go by the play is just laughable- and I suck

[Nate.]

Update:

Down to $2.15.

Hail Mary: 2-tabling $1 NL.

--Nate

[React1oN]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
hopefully you will lose

[/ QUOTE ]

and hopefully you will be banned

[/ QUOTE ]