#11
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Re: Blind defense with JTs, brilliant or retarded? (w/ ICM goodness)
Very good and interesting post, but are you not forgetting to adjust his range when he calls you?
When he calls your push he is more likely to have a hand that hit the flop, thus I think you are probably going to be a dog most of the times you get called. Lets take your above example. After adjusting for the cards we see on the flop his range of {66+,ATs+,AJo,KQs} will be 97 cards. If he calls you 1/3 of the time he is likely to call whith these hands: AQ-8 KQs-2 AA-6 KK-6 QQ-1 99-3 JJ-3 TT-3 ------- 32 total hands. Agains this range you are a 24/76 dog. |
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