80NL Flopped trips value bet river??

[BevillTheDevil]

Villian is 26/0/1 after only 20 hands. Up to this point villian does seem aggro at all. But value bet this river? what callin range do you give villian?? the J hittin i was kinda thinkin it could kill action from smaller PP and like 9x given my line?? and the board seems kinda nasty

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.40/$0.80
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $164.40
Hero: $253.40
SB: $111
BB: $152.50

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $3.6</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($8.4, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6.5</font>, UTG calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($21.4, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $15</font>, UTG calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($51.4, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ?

[.xxxx.]

ofcourse value bet river, why would the J be a scare card if you've fired 2 barrels already?

for a 1/2 pot bet, villain will call down with 9x, RR with J9/5x,fh's
for a 3/4 to pot bet, villain will call with J9/5x,RR with fh's

[BevillTheDevil]

well if the guy is decent the overcard on the river like i said could fold out a lot of smaller 1 pair hands esp given how ugly the board is and how aggro ive been...thats how i think it could be a scare card.

[matt85]

$30 is good I think.

[CmnDwnWrkn]

It guess it depends on your estimation of how donkish he is. I can't see a decent player calling with anything that you beat, but at these stakes, who knows?

I'd probably check behind. I think this is a flush a lot of the time. I would expect a normal opponent to bet the river with a hand most of the time, but this guy just seems SO passive.

[AZplaya]

With how deep you are I like a bet, $30 looks good. If stacks were shorter and a vb commited you I'd probably puss out and check behind.

[gedanken]

Is there any $value to checking behind to guarantee a showdown? If he c/raises big here, I'm folding pretty fast to an unknown with these stats, and I don't learn so much about how he plays. Valuebet could only return a fraction of what we risk, so maybe giving up a few bucks is worth it?