200NL - TP minraised by fish 50BB deep

[tbaarslag]

Villain is very fishy: 50/2/1

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed)

BB ($57.95)
Hero ($347.10)
MP ($296.50)
CO ($85.25)
Button ($95.20)
SB ($198.00)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $7, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $5.

Flop: ($22) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $30</font>, BB folds, Hero...


We have two conflicting concepts:

1. Fold against raising passives
2. TP is the nuts for 50BB

Which one's more important?

[orange]

yes shove

[tbaarslag]

But what do we beat, really, given his passivity?

[Bluegrassplayer]

Seems to me that all you're beating here is a/x of clubs, and you're hardly ahead of that. If he is a fish he could just be betting on a straight club draw though, which you're slightly more ahead of.

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
But what do we beat, really, given his passivity?

[/ QUOTE ]
He's really not that passive, he's retarded and it's only for 50bb. That combination means the push is very easy

[vm1124]

ez shove

[tarath]

when you play 50% of hands preflop AF 1 isn't all that passive post.

[SirFelixCat]

An AF of 1 when you play that many hands isn't that passive.

And it's only 50BB's. Therefore the only correct play here is to shove.

[loveinvain]

[ QUOTE ]
He's really not that passive, he's retarded ...

[/ QUOTE ]

Well said. And lol.
[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[tbaarslag]

[ QUOTE ]
An AF of 1 when you play that many hands isn't that passive.

And it's only 50BB's. Therefore the only correct play here is to shove.

[/ QUOTE ]

Whether AF=1 is passive for this villain is a difficult subject. Here, for instance, his AF is almost equal to

Bet%/Call% ~= 20/20 = 1

which is very passive indeed.