Brag: Most improbable thing Ive ever done in poker.

ArtMonkRules · #1 05-21-2007, 06:52 PM

$4.40 180-man

2nd hand of the tournament I busted, or so I thought... I lost all my chips but 10. Next hand I end up with 50, then quadroupled to 200, then doubled up, doubled again, and in 12 minutes, Im over 2200... My highest chip count in the tournament was 92K and I went on to finish 3rd..

I think this may be the most improbable thing I've ever seen, any idea what the ballpark odds of finishing top 3 after being at 10 chips is?

T50_Omaha8 · #2 05-21-2007, 06:53 PM

1:1

mikalina · #3 05-21-2007, 06:55 PM

Actually it's 3:1, because either you finish first, second or third or you don't. Pretty simple math and very likely to happen 3/4 times.

ImsaKidd · #4 05-21-2007, 06:57 PM

100%.

It happened, didnt it?

Oxy · #5 05-21-2007, 06:59 PM

You're actually more likely to win because your short term bad luck is all used up. Therefore you can only have good luck... so you're 3:1 in your favor.

Heavens_Myst · #6 05-21-2007, 06:59 PM

u guys got it all wrong, its 10 chips divided by 92 million, his ending stack. so... roughly 5.

ArtMonkRules · #7 05-21-2007, 07:01 PM

So, am I getting leveled here?

Tree Surgeon · #8 05-21-2007, 07:02 PM

[ QUOTE ]
So, am I getting leveled here?

[/ QUOTE ]

The real question is, what are you going to spend all that money on that you won?

plzleenowhammy · #9 05-21-2007, 07:02 PM

[ QUOTE ]
$4.40 180-man

[/ QUOTE ]

Beat

[ QUOTE ]
2nd hand of the tournament I busted

[/ QUOTE ]

Beat

[ QUOTE ]
I lost all my chips but 10.

[/ QUOTE ]

Beat and a lie because of previous beat.

[ QUOTE ]
quadroupled

[/ QUOTE ]

Beat

[ QUOTE ]
I went on to finish 3rd

[/ QUOTE ]

Beat

ocdscale · #10 05-21-2007, 07:02 PM

Real calculation:
You finished 3rd, and presumably you were around ~176th after second hand.
That means you were 176:3 to get there. Roughly 57:1