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Re: c-bet this flop?
A few things to consider:
--- 966,381,570 games 21.892 secs 44,143,137 games/sec Board: 6d 9s 7d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 23.761% 22.85% 00.91% 220849682 8774537.33 { AcJc } Hand 1: 38.119% 36.68% 01.44% 354508891 13869784.33 { random } Hand 2: 38.119% 36.68% 01.44% 354508891 13869784.33 { random } --- UTG+2 has top 60% of hands, SB top 40%: --- 151,653,432 games 3.545 secs 42,779,529 games/sec --- --- Board: 6d 9s 7d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 20.673% 19.26% 01.41% 29213658 2137594.50 { AcJc } Hand 1: 38.565% 37.28% 01.28% 56541818 1943752.50 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 95s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A2o+, K3o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o } Hand 2: 40.762% 39.12% 01.64% 59324759 2491850.00 { 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o } --- And we're quickly reaching the 15% that makes a sense equity wise for a bluff. UTG+2 has top 30% of hands, SB cold-caller has top 15% of hands: --- 39,169,431 games 0.922 secs 42,483,113 games/sec Board: 6d 9s 7d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 20.879% 18.71% 02.17% 7326967 851126.50 { AcJc } Hand 1: 41.470% 39.86% 01.61% 15613207 630252.50 { 55+, A2s+, K4s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T8s+, 98s, A5o+, K8o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o } Hand 2: 37.651% 35.55% 02.10% 13923784 824094.00 { 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo } --- Please consider that you might get check-raised on the flop, too. A bet on the turn looks much more scary than a boring c-bet. I'm not saying NEVER c-bet here, but I would rather not... "Still got to c-bet c-bet everything in limit hold'em." |
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