1/2: JJ overpair vs big preflop raise and 3 barrels

[Merlinius]

No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00/$2.00

BB ($266.10)
MP3 ($383.85) 35/8/0.7/33/70 hands
CO ($225.15) (Hero)
Button ($195.75)
SB ($324.00)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to 16.0</font>, Hero calls $16.00, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>,

<font color="blue"> His big preflop raise made me suspicious because he had not done that before and his pfr was very low as well so i decided to only call.</font>

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ( $35 )
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $20.00</font>, Hero calls $20.00,

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ( $75 )
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $40.00</font>, Hero calls $40.00,

River: T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ( $155 )
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $104.00</font>, Hero?

[spivey]

Eh, I may be able to find a fold on the turn. River's definitely a fold. The only hand you beat is AK or AQ, and he's very rarely triple barreling based on his AF. 99 and TT, which you beat on the flop, got there.

[SixT4]

Yeah, on the river you beat nothing, easy fold.

With his lowish PFR and large raise size, I'm putting him on something like AK or QQ+. Given his low AF I think he's got the overpair on the turn when he leads again.