#1
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Overpair Fold Check - $50NL
Villain was Peepleschamp. His stats were something like 20/5/1... He was a very quiet opponent. Certainly haven't seen him get out of line. More importantly his %of hands that went to showdown was 30% and his won at showdown was 83% (5 out of 6)
I have $87.60 on the button. peepleschamp has $92.85 UTG. peep limps UTG. I raise it to $3 from the button with KK peep calls. Everyone else folds. Flop: (Pot: $7.25) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] peep checks. I bet $5. Peep checkraises to $12. I call. Turn: (Pot: $31.25) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Peep bets $22, Hero FOLDS?!?!? Based on Pahud stats, this is a fold, right? |
#2
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Re: Overpair Fold Check - $50NL
I wouldn't rely on the WTSD/W$SD stats if the sample size is so small.
Add won $ when c/r flop to your popup stats for those situations when you do have enough stats. Otherwise, looks alright to me. If he's really been so squeeky tight'n'tidy, a fold doesn't look too weak here. |
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