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  #1  
Old 04-12-2007, 11:10 AM
kurto kurto is offline
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Default Overpair Fold Check - $50NL

Villain was Peepleschamp. His stats were something like 20/5/1... He was a very quiet opponent. Certainly haven't seen him get out of line. More importantly his %of hands that went to showdown was 30% and his won at showdown was 83% (5 out of 6)

I have $87.60 on the button.
peepleschamp has $92.85 UTG.

peep limps UTG.
I raise it to $3 from the button with KK
peep calls. Everyone else folds.

Flop: (Pot: $7.25) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
peep checks. I bet $5. Peep checkraises to $12. I call.

Turn: (Pot: $31.25) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Peep bets $22, Hero FOLDS?!?!?

Based on Pahud stats, this is a fold, right?
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  #2  
Old 04-12-2007, 11:35 AM
kazana kazana is offline
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Default Re: Overpair Fold Check - $50NL

I wouldn't rely on the WTSD/W$SD stats if the sample size is so small.
Add won $ when c/r flop to your popup stats for those situations when you do have enough stats.

Otherwise, looks alright to me. If he's really been so squeeky tight'n'tidy, a fold doesn't look too weak here.
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