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#42
10-10-2007, 03:53 PM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
[ QUOTE ]
so like a martingale? [/ QUOTE ] Similar. In sportsbetting they're typically called "chase systems". People do this on road trips a lot since obv you can never lose. 
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#43
10-10-2007, 03:56 PM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
[ QUOTE ]
so like a martingale? [/ QUOTE ] yep... 'chase' system = martingale these guys are like bankers that collect nickles in front of bulldozers It works over and over and over and over for so long that they overlook the lightning strikes that hit This one especially makes no sense to me as the 'theory' behind it sucks. The first thing that goes with tired hockey teams is their team defense, not the offense. If anything, I'd expect to see an 'over' chase system for road series.
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#44
10-10-2007, 07:47 PM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] The only thing tired in this game was the Leaf defence!! LOL @ TORONTO. Bad beat OP, good luck going forward. [/ QUOTE ] That was Game 1 ... there will be game losses lol. That's why it's a Chase System. [/ QUOTE ] What does that mean Rich? Does that mean we go 2 units on the under in Caro's next game? [/ QUOTE ] WOW, how do you follow a system like this and you don't even know what you are getting into. Read the first thread. Use your brain. Don't do it. [/ QUOTE ] WOW, I didn't place any bets.
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#45
10-10-2007, 11:46 PM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
Whatever dude, then stop encouraging him by acting like you're following.
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#46
10-11-2007, 02:01 AM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
What happens when you lose so many in a row that your next bet is more than the sportsbook maximum? Even if that rarely happens, when it does it would seem to be pretty devastating. And it will eventually happen, as all losing (and winning) streaks do.
Also, if this system does work, wouldn't it make more sense to find out why it works and exploit that weakness for maximum edge/value, as opposed to not trying to find out what makes the system work? craig
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#47
10-11-2007, 02:08 AM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
He quits at the end of each series, so he's roughly 1 - 1/2^n to win a unit and 1/2^n to lose more than 2^n. As long as he keeps miraculously dodging the 1/2^n shot more than he should, his collection of -EV bets will show a profit, even though his expectation is literally worse than flipping a coin to decide over/under and betting 1u on the same games he plays.
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#48
10-11-2007, 03:09 AM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
The Overs are 5-0 with one pending (Boston).
The Unders are 4-0 with two pending (Caro & Calgary). So, saying that I'm playing the Overs... I am up four units and have a two unit play on Boston coming up. Let's assume I lose that... I'd be up roughly two units and have four units on Boston next time out.?
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#50
10-11-2007, 10:14 AM
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Re: NHL Under System - October Plays
guys, please stop critiquing his theory. the sports forum is not a place for people to discuss the reasoning behind bets. its a place for people to post with a dream. let op live the dream before 1/2^n pours a bucket of water on his face.
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